The chances of seeing the Northern Lights in Iceland depend on several factors, including the time of year, weather conditions, and location. The best time to see the Northern Lights in Iceland is during the winter months of November through February, when the nights are longest and the skies are clear. However, even during this time, there is no guarantee of seeing the Northern Lights, as they are a natural phenomenon and can be affected by factors such as solar activity and cloud cover. It’s important to be patient and flexible with your itinerary, as sometimes it takes several nights of waiting and searching for the right conditions to see the aurora borealis. However, many visitors to Iceland are able to witness the Northern Lights during their trip, making it a worthwhile and unforgettable experience.